Warm Up: Predict Blood Donations Hosted By DrivenData

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Many thanks to the participants for all of their hard work and commitment to using data for good!

The Blood Transfusion Service Center Dataset


The UCI Machine Learning Repository is a great resource for practicing your data science skills. They provide a wide range of datasets for testing machine learning algorithms. Finding a subject matter you're interested in can be a great way to test yourself on real-world data problems. Given our mission, we're interested in predicting if a blood donor will donate within a given time window.

Here's what the first few rows of the training set look like:

Months since Last Donation Number of Donations Total Volume Donated (c.c.) Months since First Donation Made Donation in March 2007
619 2 50 12500 98 1
664 0 13 3250 28 1
441 1 16 4000 35 1
160 2 20 5000 45 1
358 1 24 6000 77 0

Predict if the donor will give in March 2007

The goal is to predict the last column, whether he/she donated blood in March 2007.

Use information about each donor's history

  • Months since Last Donation: this is the number of monthis since this donor's most recent donation.
  • Number of Donations: this is the total number of donations that the donor has made.
  • Total Volume Donated: this is the total amound of blood that the donor has donated in cubuc centimeters.
  • Months since First Donation: this is the number of months since the donor's first donation.

Submission format

This competitions uses log loss as its evaluation metric, so the predictions you submit are the probability that a donor made a donation in March 2007.

The submission format is a csv with the following columns:

Made Donation in March 2007
659 0.5
276 0.5
263 0.5
303 0.5
83 0.5

To be explicit, you need to submit a file like the following with predictions for every ID in the Test Set we provide:

,Made Donation in March 2007
659,0.5
276,0.5
263,0.5
303,0.5
...

Data citation

Data is courtesy of Yeh, I-Cheng via the UCI Machine Learning repository:

Yeh, I-Cheng, Yang, King-Jang, and Ting, Tao-Ming, "Knowledge discovery on RFM model using Bernoulli sequence, "Expert Systems with Applications, 2008, doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2008.07.018.